Astros vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 18, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (76-43) are -135 favorites vs the White Sox (61-57)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (9-8), 4.03 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (9-6), 4.92 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Houston Astros (-135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 76-43 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 54-64 ATS.

Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +120O 8 -105-135
White Sox +1.5 -145U 8 -115+110

Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 73.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 75 games (+26.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 56 of his last 77 games (+22.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 46 of his last 60 games at home (+18.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+16.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 77 games (+16.05 Units / 19% ROI)

White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jose Abreu 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Josh Harrison 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Seby Zavala 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -300 0.5 +195
Jose Abreu 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Josh Harrison 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Seby Zavala 0.5 -120 0.5 -115

White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Jose Abreu 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Josh Harrison 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Seby Zavala 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lucas Giolito 4.5 -125 4.5 -110
Luis Garcia 4.5 -165 4.5 +120
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 106 games (+25.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 117 games (+21.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 63 games (+13.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 103 games (+10.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 100 games (+8.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 118 games (+13.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 8 games at home (+8.85 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 51 games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.25% ROI).

  • 76-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 2.9% ROI
  • 44-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.45 Units / -24.2% ROI
  • 70-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.4 Units / 16.18% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 54-64 against the Run Line (-10.5 Units / -7.47% ROI).

  • 61-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -6.1% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.23% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 20% (35/177) against Luis Garcia this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (232/608) against Luis Garcia on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (120/325) against Luis Garcia this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 14th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 41% of Luis Garcia’s non-fastballs (534/1,314) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.

Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lucas Giolito has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (381/1,050) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .953 (279 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .710 — first Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has allowed an OBP of .357 (28 PA’s) with two-strikes — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .327 (82-for-251) against Lucas Giolito this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .250 — first Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Astros are 47-3 (.940) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Astros are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .089.

The Astros are 30-4 (.882) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are 31-27 (.534) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The White Sox are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 50-4 (.926) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .911.

The White Sox are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have just 753 strikeouts in 4,120 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 623 strikeouts in 3,460 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Astros have scored 1.05 runs per game (125/119) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.

The White Sox are batting just .157 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

The White Sox are batting just .136 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .222.

The White Sox are batting .368 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The White Sox are batting .259 on the road since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 67 of 1,056 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (499.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Leury García (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.