- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Houston Astros (-150) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Friday, May 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 19-18 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 17-22 ATS.
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 +100 | -150 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -120 | +125 |
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+9.95 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.25 Units / 138% ROI)
White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.35 Units / 43% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+6.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 18-19 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -6.68% ROI).
- 19-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -13.73% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 1.23% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -9.07% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 17-22 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -16.57% ROI).
- 13-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -31.58% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 11.71% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -18.42% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
J.P. France has limited playing time.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has allowed a slugging percentage of .642 (52 Total Bases / 81 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 14 of 79 left-handed batters (18%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has allowed an OPS of 1.363 (43 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .723 — second Percentile.
Michael Kopech has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (28 Total Bases / 32 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .411 — second Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are 13-11 (.542) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Astros are 62-37 (.626) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Astros are 110-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are just 9-5 (.643) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are just 5-19 (.208) when underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The White Sox are just 8-5 (.615) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The White Sox are 15-8 (.652) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 379 strikeouts in 2,218 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 759 strikeouts in 4,299 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 58 strikeouts in 368 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros are batting .186 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 46 walks in 942 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 356 walks in 5,951 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have 120 extra-base hits out of 380 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The White Sox are batting .267 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros have allowed 3.32 runs per game (329/99) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .328 against White Sox pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
White Sox pitchers have walked 159 of 1,552 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
- Mauricio Dubón (Astros): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
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