Astros vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 14

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 14, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Astros are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Houston Astros (-135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Astros are 20-19 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 18-23 ATS.

Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +135O 7.5 +100-135
White Sox +1.5 -160U 7.5 -120+110

Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 66.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Astros vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+16.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.25 Units / 138% ROI)

White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Tim Anderson 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Tim Anderson 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Tim Anderson 0.5 +270 0.5 -375
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Brown 4.5 -200 4.5 +155
Lucas Giolito 5.5 -145 5.5 +110
Hunter Brown 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.55 Units / 37% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 19-20 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -7.66% ROI).

  • 20-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -13.12% ROI
  • 19-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -4.41% ROI
  • 19-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -3.97% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 18-23 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -15.28% ROI).

  • 14-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -30% ROI
  • 21-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 5.77% ROI
  • 17-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -13.18% ROI

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 7% (4/53) against Hunter Brown when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Hunter Brown has thrown breaking pitches 65% of the time (200/309) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (10-for-20) against Hunter Brown on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — second Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .360 (86 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 10th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (10/50) against Lucas Giolito this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (5/50) against Lucas Giolito this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Lucas Giolito has an average spin rate of 1961.4 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 2405.9 — 0 Percentile.

Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — second Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Astros are 54-11 (.831) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Astros are 111-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.

The Astros are 63-38 (.624) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are just 10-5 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .852.

The White Sox are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The White Sox are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.

The White Sox are just 8-5 (.615) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Astros hitters have just 379 strikeouts in 2,222 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 759 strikeouts in 4,303 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 58 strikeouts in 372 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .774 (2,222 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

White Sox hitters have drawn 358 walks in 6,018 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have 121 extra-base hits out of 383 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

White Sox hitters have drawn 47 walks in 951 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Astros have allowed 3.30 runs per game (333/101) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .324 against White Sox pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
  • Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
  • Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15

Bet now on Astros vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.