- The Astros are -275 favorites vs the White Sox
- Astros vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / White Sox TV Channel: SCHN | CHSN
The Houston Astros (-275) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+220) on Saturday, May 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Astros are 16-15 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 17-15 ATS.
Astros vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 4-1, 1.21 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 1-3, 3.24 ERA
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -2.5 -105 | O 7.5 -105 | -275 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -115 | U 7.5 -115 | +220 |
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+18.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+16.20 Units / 270% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+7.65 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+2.90 Units / 36% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 17-14 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 11.13% ROI).
- 16-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -8.14% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -13.19% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 4.2% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 17-15 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 1.86% ROI).
- 9-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -25.16% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -4.53% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -4.27% ROI
White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Brendan Rodgers (HOU) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of just .167 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has induced opposing hitters to ground into 7 double plays in 15 opportunities (47%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of just .167 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (6-for-51) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
29% of Davis Martin’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — fourth Percentile.
Davis Martin has struck out just 14% (11/78) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (5/52) against Davis Martin when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Davis Martin has a strikeout rate of just 13% (7 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 5-11 (.312) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Astros are just 1-70 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 86-38 (.694) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox are just 49-122 (.287) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OBP of .439 (132 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .854 (942 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .677.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .618 (5,870 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,827 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .229 with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The White Sox batted just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .269 against White Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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