Astros vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

New York Yankees' Austin Wells reacts after hitting a three-run home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium Monday, Sept. 9, 2024, in New York.
AP Photo/Seth Wenig
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  • The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Astros
  • Astros vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Astros / Yankees TV Channel: SCHN | YES

The Houston Astros (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on August 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Astros are 65-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 64-65 ATS.

Astros vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Ethan Pecko 0-0, 4.91 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 8-6, 4.42 ERA

Astros vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -165O 8.5 +100+120
Yankees -1.5 +140U 8.5 -120-145

Astros vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+12.40 Units / 124% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Josรฉ Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+14.00 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 away games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 40 games at home (+18.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 57% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 64-67 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -4.26% ROI).

  • 65-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -7.1% ROI
  • 68-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 3.82% ROI
  • 56-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -13.13% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 64-65 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 4.34% ROI).

  • 74-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -3.03% ROI
  • 54-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.75 Units / -17.91% ROI
  • 72-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.9 Units / 9.06% ROI

Yankees vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +240
Ben Rice +240
Trent Grisham +300
Luis Garcia Jr. +310
Isaac Paredes +360

Yankees vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ben Rice 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Caballero 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jose Altuve 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Ben Rice 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Trent Grisham 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Astros are 55-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 48-3 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 21-10 (.677) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Yankees are 43-5 (.896) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 11-16 (.407) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 15-16 (.484) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 30-3 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are batting just .234 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 41 extra-base hits out of 146 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .225 (2,651 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .230 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.18 runs per game (416/131) in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (607.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (1161.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.