• The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Astros / Yankees TV Channel: SCHN | YES

The Houston Astros (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on August 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Astros are 66-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 65-66 ATS.

Astros vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski 3-1, 4.23 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 7-6, 3.12 ERA

Astros vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+13.90 Units / 154% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis García Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units / 56% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 away games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 65-68 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -4.68% ROI).

• 66-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -6.85% ROI
• 70-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 5.12% ROI
• 56-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -21 Units / -14.45% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 65-66 against the Run Line (+7.05 Units / 4.72% ROI).

• 75-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -3.22% ROI
• 56-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.75 Units / -16.27% ROI
• 72-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 7.4% ROI

Yankees vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Astros are 56-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros are 48-3 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 21-10 (.677) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Yankees are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 15-17 (.469) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 75-57 (.568) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 83 extra-base hits out of 189 total hits (44%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .729 (2,522 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,772 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .228 (2,690 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.19 runs per game (424/133) in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (607.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.33 runs per game (230/69) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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