Astros vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (51-18) are -125 favorites vs the Astros (43-25)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (7-3), 2.77 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (8-1), 2.70 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (+105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-125) on Thursday, June 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Astros vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 43-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 36-33 ATS.

Astros vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -190O 8 -105+105
Yankees -1.5 +155U 8 -115-125

Astros vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 65.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Gallo has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Joey Gallo has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games at home (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 59% ROI)

Yankees vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Aaron Judge 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Yankees vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Aaron Judge 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
DJ LeMahieu 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Aaron Judge 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +135 0.5 -200

Yankees vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jameson Taillon 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
Framber Valdez 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+18.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 52 games (+10.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 49 games (+4.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 59 games (+24.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 65 games (+5.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 33-35 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.32% ROI).

  • 43-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 5.34% ROI
  • 22-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.25 Units / -32.7% ROI
  • 43-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.65 Units / 24.65% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 36-33 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 4.3% ROI).

  • 51-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.05 Units / 16.54% ROI
  • 31-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -11.74% ROI
  • 36-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 2.84% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (157/231) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 71% (142/201) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 79% (27/34) against Framber Valdez — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (421/609) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Jameson Taillon has walked 2 of 111 batters (2%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 9 of 295 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 4 of 182 right-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Astros are 24-2 (.923) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Astros are 40-7 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Astros are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

The Astros are 23-14 (.622) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Yankees are 29-7 (.806) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Yankees are 20-3 (.870) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .674.

The Yankees are 31-2 (.939) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Yankees are 37-3 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

Astros hitters have just 511 strikeouts in 2,817 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,537 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros hitters have just 1,208 strikeouts in 6,004 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 617 walks in 5,985 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters are slugging .442 this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Yankees hitters are slugging .321 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.67 (280.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

Astros pitchers have walked 22 of 402 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Astros have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (600.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 60% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Yankees have won 56% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Yankees vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Thumb, D10
  • Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Shoulder, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.