Astros vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Yankees (52-18) are -130 favorites vs the Astros (43-26)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (8-3), 2.29 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (4-1), 3.27 ERA
  • Watch the game on Prime Video

The Houston Astros (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-130) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Astros vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 43-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 36-34 ATS.

Astros vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -190O 7.5 +100+110
Yankees -1.5 +155U 7.5 -120-130

Astros vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Gallo has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Joey Gallo has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Yankees vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Aaron Judge 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Yankees vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
DJ LeMahieu 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Aaron Judge 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +125 0.5 -185

Yankees vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Severino 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
Justin Verlander 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 56 games (+13.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 60 games (+25.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 66 games (+4.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 34-35 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 1.59% ROI).

  • 43-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 4.37% ROI
  • 23-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.25 Units / -30.88% ROI
  • 43-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 22.95% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 36-34 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 3.02% ROI).

  • 52-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.05 Units / 17.15% ROI
  • 32-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -10.28% ROI
  • 36-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.44% ROI

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .240 (317 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 97th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed 6 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has a strike rate of 69% (373/544) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 94th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .244 (172 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 94th Percentile.

Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Severino has struck out 38% (60/160) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a just .305 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 89th Percentile and .471 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Luis Severino this season is 375.2 feet — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.6

Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 52% (52 SO in 101 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 95th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Astros are 40-7 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Astros are 14-4 (.778) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Astros are 24-3 (.889) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Astros are 23-15 (.605) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Yankees are 4-11 (.267) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Yankees are 30-7 (.811) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Yankees are 21-3 (.875) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

The Yankees are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

Astros hitters have just 512 strikeouts in 2,821 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,553 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,481 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .190 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Yankees hitters are slugging .592 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are slugging .694 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Yankees hitters have drawn 85 walks in 777 PA’s (11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.67 (280.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Yankees have won 69% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 62% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 37 of 632 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Thumb, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Shoulder, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.