- The Yankees (52-18) are -130 favorites vs the Astros (43-26)
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (8-3), 2.29 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (4-1), 3.27 ERA
- Watch the game on Prime Video
The Houston Astros (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-130) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Astros vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 43-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 36-34 ATS.
Astros vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 +100 | +110 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -120 | -130 |
Astros vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 56.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Gallo has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Yankees vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Yankees vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Yankees vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -115 |
| Justin Verlander | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 56 games (+13.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 60 games (+25.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 66 games (+4.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 34-35 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 1.59% ROI).
- 43-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 23-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.25 Units / -30.88% ROI
- 43-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 22.95% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 36-34 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 3.02% ROI).
- 52-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.05 Units / 17.15% ROI
- 32-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -10.28% ROI
- 36-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.44% ROI
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .240 (317 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 97th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed 6 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has a strike rate of 69% (373/544) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 94th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .244 (172 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 94th Percentile.
Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has struck out 38% (60/160) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a just .305 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 89th Percentile and .471 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Luis Severino this season is 375.2 feet — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.6
Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 52% (52 SO in 101 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 95th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Astros are 40-7 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Astros are 14-4 (.778) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Astros are 24-3 (.889) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Astros are 23-15 (.605) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Yankees are 4-11 (.267) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Yankees are 30-7 (.811) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Yankees are 21-3 (.875) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Yankees are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 512 strikeouts in 2,821 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,553 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,481 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .190 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .592 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are slugging .694 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Yankees hitters have drawn 85 walks in 777 PA’s (11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.67 (280.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have won 69% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 62% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 37 of 632 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
- Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
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