- The – (44-25) are favorites vs the – (44-25)
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (4-3), 3.07 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (6-1), 3.13 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Astros vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 44-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 36-35 ATS.
Astros vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Astros vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.25 Units / 85% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 57% ROI)
Yankees vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Gallo | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Joey Gallo | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
Yankees vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Joey Gallo | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 68 games (+18.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 54 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 51 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 61 games (+24.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 67 games (+3.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 70 games (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 35-35 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 2.79% ROI).
- 44-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 5.33% ROI
- 23-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.45 Units / -31.96% ROI
- 44-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.6 Units / 23.94% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 36-35 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 1.77% ROI).
- 52-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.75 Units / 15.97% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -11.65% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.7% ROI
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (322/656) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (118/233) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .424 (14 GB hits out of 33 GBs) against Cristian Javier this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .228 — second Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 59% of the time (311/531) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .128 (16-for-125) against Gerrit Cole this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has struck out 38% (53/140) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (154/388) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (38/99) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Astros are 41-7 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Astros are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Astros are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Astros are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Yankees are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Yankees are 21-3 (.875) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .674.
The Yankees are 30-8 (.789) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Yankees are 22-11 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 513 strikeouts in 2,824 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .267 (4,571 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .590 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .564 (4,897 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 624 walks in 6,037 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.07 (618.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
The Astros have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.67 (280.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees have won 65% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Yankees vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
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