Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (72-41) are -350 favorites vs the Athletics (41-71)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Adam Oller (1-5), 7.62 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (8-8), 3.92 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Oakland Athletics (+260) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-350) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 41-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 58-55 ATS.

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+2.5 -115O 8.5 -105+260
Astros -2.5 -105U 8.5 -115-350

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 away games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 52 games at home (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Jake Meyers 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Jose Altuve 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jake Meyers 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jose Altuve 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Jake Meyers 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Jose Altuve 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +120 0.5 -175

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia 6.5 +115 6.5 -165
Adam Oller 3.5 -110 3.5 -120
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 54 away games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 103 games (+9.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+7.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 88 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 111 games (+20.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 100 games (+19.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+14.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 97 games (+8.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 94 games (+8.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 55-57 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -9.69% ROI).

  • 41-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -12.3% ROI
  • 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.51% ROI
  • 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 6.61% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 58-55 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.43% ROI).

  • 72-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 2.34% ROI
  • 42-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.2 Units / -24.48% ROI
  • 67-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.5 Units / 16.32% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 14% (3/21) against Adam Oller — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Adam Oller has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (15 Total Bases / 21 ABs) with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .274 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .381 (8-for-21) against Adam Oller with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .174 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (7/41) against Adam Oller — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 35% of Luis Garcia’s breaking pitches (301/848) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Luis Garcia has a strike rate of just 63% (622/982) against right-handed batters this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (154/483) against Luis Garcia this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 29% (90/308) against Luis Garcia this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 85th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 1-55 (.018) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Athletics are just 31-10 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Athletics are just 17-39 (.304) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Athletics are just 36-6 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 63-14 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Astros are 36-23 (.610) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Astros are 58-4 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Athletics are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .318 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,962 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,026 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Astros hitters have just 616 strikeouts in 3,394 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters have just 236 strikeouts in 1,313 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 11% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Athletics have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents are hitting just .211 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.48 (2447.0 IP) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.