- The Astros (72-41) are -350 favorites vs the Athletics (41-71)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Adam Oller (1-5), 7.62 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (8-8), 3.92 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+260) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-350) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 41-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 58-55 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -115 | O 8.5 -105 | +260 |
| Astros | -2.5 -105 | U 8.5 -115 | -350 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 away games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 52 games at home (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -165 |
| Adam Oller | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 54 away games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 103 games (+9.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+7.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 88 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 111 games (+20.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 100 games (+19.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+14.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 97 games (+8.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 94 games (+8.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 55-57 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -9.69% ROI).
- 41-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -12.3% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.51% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 6.61% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 58-55 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.43% ROI).
- 72-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 2.34% ROI
- 42-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.2 Units / -24.48% ROI
- 67-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.5 Units / 16.32% ROI
Adam Oller: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 14% (3/21) against Adam Oller — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Adam Oller has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (15 Total Bases / 21 ABs) with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .274 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .381 (8-for-21) against Adam Oller with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .174 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (7/41) against Adam Oller — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 35% of Luis Garcia’s breaking pitches (301/848) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Garcia has a strike rate of just 63% (622/982) against right-handed batters this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (154/483) against Luis Garcia this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 29% (90/308) against Luis Garcia this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 85th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 1-55 (.018) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Athletics are just 31-10 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Athletics are just 17-39 (.304) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Athletics are just 36-6 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 63-14 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Astros are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 36-23 (.610) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Astros are 58-4 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .318 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,962 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,026 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 616 strikeouts in 3,394 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have just 236 strikeouts in 1,313 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 11% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Athletics have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents are hitting just .211 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.48 (2447.0 IP) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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