- The Astros (73-41) are -275 favorites vs the Athletics (41-72)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Zach Logue (3-5), 4.79 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr. (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 41-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 59-55 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -130 | O 8.5 +100 | +220 |
| Astros | -2.5 +105 | U 8.5 -120 | -275 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 away games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 65 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 53 games at home (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Tucker | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Zach Logue | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -185 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 55 away games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 104 games (+8.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 89 games (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 101 games (+20.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 112 games (+19.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+15.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 98 games (+9.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 95 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 55-58 against the Run Line (-15.1 Units / -10.3% ROI).
- 41-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 48-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -14.57% ROI
- 60-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 5.71% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 59-55 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 73-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 2.81% ROI
- 43-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.2 Units / -23.45% ROI
- 67-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.45 Units / 15.35% ROI
Zach Logue: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Lance McCullers since the start of last season is 381.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Hitters have swung at 58% of Lance McCullers’ pitches in the zone (779/1,342) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 50% of the time (684/1,379) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (101/559) against Lance McCullers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 17-39 (.304) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Athletics are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 1-56 (.018) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Athletics are just 31-10 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 45-3 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Astros are 37-18 (.673) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Astros are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,962 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,962 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,929 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 2,064 strikeouts in 10,549 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 1,446 strikeouts in 7,147 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .330 (7,147 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Astros are batting .187 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Athletics pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 11% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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