Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (74-41) are -275 favorites vs the Athletics (41-73)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (6-9), 2.91 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (6-8), 3.14 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 41-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 60-55 ATS.

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 +105O 7.5 -105+220
Astros -1.5 -130U 7.5 -115-275

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 62.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 away games (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 66 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 54 games at home (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Chas McCormick 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Christian Vazquez 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Jose Altuve 0.5 +275 0.5 -450

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Chas McCormick 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Christian Vazquez 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jose Altuve 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Chas McCormick 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Vazquez 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jose Altuve 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cristian Javier 6.5 -110 6.5 -130
Cole Irvin 3.5 -115 3.5 -115
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 56 away games (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 105 games (+9.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 49 of their last 90 games (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 102 games (+21.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 113 games (+20.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 99 games (+10.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 96 games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 55-59 against the Run Line (-16.1 Units / -10.91% ROI).

  • 41-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -13.76% ROI
  • 48-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -15.35% ROI
  • 61-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 6.46% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 60-55 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 4.85% ROI).

  • 74-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 3.28% ROI
  • 43-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.35 Units / -24.15% ROI
  • 68-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.45 Units / 16.01% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .143 (11-for-77) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (31/176) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.

Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .450 (54 Total Bases / 120 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .246 (17-for-69) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 96th Percentile.

Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (418/830) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 57% of the time (234/413) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 54% of the time (479/888) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 37% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (254/686) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 17-39 (.304) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Athletics are just 4-29 (.121) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Athletics are just 1-57 (.017) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Athletics are just 31-10 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 64-14 (.821) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 38-18 (.679) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Astros are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Athletics are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,961 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,962 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,096 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Astros hitters have just 621 strikeouts in 3,429 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Astros have scored 1.08 runs per game (124/115) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.

Astros hitters have just 241 strikeouts in 1,348 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 13 of 90 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 9 of 55 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Athletics pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.7 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.