- The Astros (74-41) are -275 favorites vs the Athletics (41-73)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (6-9), 2.91 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (6-8), 3.14 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 41-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 60-55 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -105 | +220 |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | U 7.5 -115 | -275 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 62.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 away games (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 66 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 54 games at home (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -130 |
| Cole Irvin | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 56 away games (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 105 games (+9.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 49 of their last 90 games (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 102 games (+21.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 113 games (+20.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 99 games (+10.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 96 games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 55-59 against the Run Line (-16.1 Units / -10.91% ROI).
- 41-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -13.76% ROI
- 48-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -15.35% ROI
- 61-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 6.46% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 60-55 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 4.85% ROI).
- 74-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 3.28% ROI
- 43-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.35 Units / -24.15% ROI
- 68-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.45 Units / 16.01% ROI
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .143 (11-for-77) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (31/176) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .450 (54 Total Bases / 120 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .246 (17-for-69) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 96th Percentile.
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (418/830) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 57% of the time (234/413) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 54% of the time (479/888) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 37% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (254/686) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 17-39 (.304) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Athletics are just 4-29 (.121) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Athletics are just 1-57 (.017) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Athletics are just 31-10 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 64-14 (.821) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Astros are 38-18 (.679) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Astros are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,961 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,962 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,096 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 621 strikeouts in 3,429 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Astros have scored 1.08 runs per game (124/115) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.
Astros hitters have just 241 strikeouts in 1,348 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 13 of 90 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 9 of 55 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Athletics pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.7 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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