- The Astros (58-31) are -350 favorites vs the Athletics (31-60)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Jared Koenig (1-2), 6.38 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (11-3), 2.00 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+260) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-350) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 31-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 46-43 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -120 | O 7.5 -110 | +260 |
| Astros | -2.5 +100 | U 7.5 -110 | -350 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+14.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 24 away games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 35 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael Brantley has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jeremy Pena | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Koenig | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +130 |
| Justin Verlander | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 46 away games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 82 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 67 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+17.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 76 games (+17.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 73 games (+15.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+12.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 44-47 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -11.63% ROI).
- 31-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -18.28% ROI
- 37-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.6 Units / -17.41% ROI
- 49-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.25 Units / 8.27% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 46-43 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 3.21% ROI).
- 58-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 7.55% ROI
- 32-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.35 Units / -26.01% ROI
- 53-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.65 Units / 17.89% ROI
Jared Koenig: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Koenig has limited playing time.
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .534 (399 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 97th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .228 (184 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 95th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has walked 7 of 214 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (14 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 98th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .883.
The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Athletics are just 30-51 (.370) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Athletics are just 6-26 (.188) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 52-8 (.867) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Astros are 34-2 (.944) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (3,260 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .555 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .264 (2,318 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 1,324 strikeouts in 6,548 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .333 (6,548 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Astros hitters have just 571 strikeouts in 3,074 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Athletics pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this month (14 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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