Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 16

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 16, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Astros (58-31) are -350 favorites vs the Athletics (31-60)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Jared Koenig (1-2), 6.38 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (11-3), 2.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Oakland Athletics (+260) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-350) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 31-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 46-43 ATS.

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+2.5 -120O 7.5 -110+260
Astros -2.5 +100U 7.5 -110-350

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+14.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 24 away games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 35 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Michael Brantley has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Alex Bregman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Chas McCormick 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Jake Meyers 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Alex Bregman 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Chas McCormick 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Jake Meyers 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jeremy Pena 1.5 +175 1.5 -250

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Alex Bregman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Chas McCormick 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jake Meyers 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jared Koenig 2.5 -185 2.5 +130
Justin Verlander 7.5 +115 7.5 -165
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 46 away games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 82 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 67 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+17.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 76 games (+17.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 73 games (+15.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+12.75 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 44-47 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -11.63% ROI).

  • 31-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -18.28% ROI
  • 37-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.6 Units / -17.41% ROI
  • 49-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.25 Units / 8.27% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 46-43 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 3.21% ROI).

  • 58-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 7.55% ROI
  • 32-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.35 Units / -26.01% ROI
  • 53-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.65 Units / 17.89% ROI

Jared Koenig has limited playing time.

Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .534 (399 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 97th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .228 (184 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 95th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has walked 7 of 214 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (14 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 98th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .883.

The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Athletics are just 30-51 (.370) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Athletics are just 6-26 (.188) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 52-8 (.867) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 34-2 (.944) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (3,260 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .555 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .264 (2,318 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Astros hitters have just 1,324 strikeouts in 6,548 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .333 (6,548 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Astros hitters have just 571 strikeouts in 3,074 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Athletics pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this month (14 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.