Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 17

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (59-31) are -275 favorites vs the Athletics (31-61)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Adam Oller (0-3), 9.00 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Jacob Odorizzi (4-2), 3.37 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Sunday, July 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 31-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 47-43 ATS.

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 +105O 8 +100+220
Astros -1.5 -130U 8 -120-275

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+15.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+11.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 39 games at home (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Alex Bregman 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Jake Meyers 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Jose Altuve 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Alex Bregman 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Jake Meyers 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Alex Bregman 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Jake Meyers 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jose Altuve 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Odorizzi 4.5 -125 4.5 -115
Adam Oller 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 88 games (+18.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 77 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 74 games (+16.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+13.75 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 44-48 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -12.37% ROI).

  • 31-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -19.13% ROI
  • 37-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -18.26% ROI
  • 50-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.25 Units / 9.17% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 47-43 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 4.1% ROI).

  • 59-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 8.04% ROI
  • 32-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.4 Units / -26.8% ROI
  • 54-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.65 Units / 18.69% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (18/32) against Adrian Martinez — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — third Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .353 (6-for-17) against Adrian Martinez this month (2 games) — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .231 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (18/83) against Adrian Martinez this month (2 games) — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 29% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .364 (8-for-22) against Adrian Martinez at home this month (1 games) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .245 — sixth Percentile.

Jacob Odorizzi: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (5/72) against Jake Odorizzi on inside fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (563/1,250) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi since the start of last season is 386.4 feet — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 399.5

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (644/1,343) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Athletics are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Athletics are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 4-25 (.138) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .263 (2,352 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (3,294 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Athletics are batting just .192 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Astros hitters have just 575 strikeouts in 3,106 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 1,324 strikeouts in 6,548 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters have just 1,899 strikeouts in 9,654 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% this month (15 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.