- The Astros (59-31) are -275 favorites vs the Athletics (31-61)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Adam Oller (0-3), 9.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Jacob Odorizzi (4-2), 3.37 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Sunday, July 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 31-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 47-43 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 8 +100 | +220 |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -120 | -275 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+15.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+11.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 39 games at home (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Odorizzi | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -115 |
| Adam Oller | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 88 games (+18.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 77 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 74 games (+16.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+13.75 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 44-48 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -12.37% ROI).
- 31-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -19.13% ROI
- 37-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -18.26% ROI
- 50-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.25 Units / 9.17% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 47-43 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 4.1% ROI).
- 59-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 8.04% ROI
- 32-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.4 Units / -26.8% ROI
- 54-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.65 Units / 18.69% ROI
Adam Oller: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (18/32) against Adrian Martinez — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .353 (6-for-17) against Adrian Martinez this month (2 games) — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .231 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (18/83) against Adrian Martinez this month (2 games) — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 29% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .364 (8-for-22) against Adrian Martinez at home this month (1 games) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .245 — sixth Percentile.
Jacob Odorizzi: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (5/72) against Jake Odorizzi on inside fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (563/1,250) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi since the start of last season is 386.4 feet — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 399.5
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (644/1,343) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Athletics are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Athletics are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 4-25 (.138) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .263 (2,352 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (3,294 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Athletics are batting just .192 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 575 strikeouts in 3,106 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 1,324 strikeouts in 6,548 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have just 1,899 strikeouts in 9,654 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% this month (15 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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