- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Bielak
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 10-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 21-22 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -120 | +200 |
| Astros | -1.5 -125 | U 9.5 +100 | -250 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Athletics vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.75 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 43 games (+14.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+12.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jose Altuve | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ken Waldichuk | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Brandon Bielak | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 away games (+12.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 17-28 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -27.62% ROI).
- 10-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.5 Units / -43.19% ROI
- 27-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 16.04% ROI
- 17-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -25.05% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 21-22 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -6.58% ROI).
- 24-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.31% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.11% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -8.48% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
7 of Ken Waldichuk’s 16 breaking pitch strikeouts (44%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has a strike rate of just 57% (128/225) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .358 (95 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .250 — first Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has an ERA of 9.15 (19.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 4.55 — third Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Bielak has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 21st, 2022 — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 10.
Brandon Bielak has a strike rate of just 57% (139/242) over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Brandon Bielak has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (23/50) of opposing batters over the last 30 days (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Brandon Bielak has allowed three-ball counts to 27% of batters they faced (17/62 PA’s) over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 19% — fifth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Athletics are just 58-8 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Athletics are just 10-35 (.222) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 22-12 (.647) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Astros are 51-24 (.680) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are 22-24 (.478) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Astros are 114-2 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 22% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,821 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .612 (3,821 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 775 strikeouts in 4,358 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 395 strikeouts in 2,277 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have won 93% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,046/7,664 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.73 (166.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.13 (399.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.10 (894.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
Bet now on Athletics vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
