- The Astros are -275 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Wednesday, September 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 46-99 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 74-72 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +110 | O 9 -120 | +220 |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | U 9 +100 | -275 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 85.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+15.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+12.55 Units / 90% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Hunter Brown | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 84 games (+17.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 131 games (+13.53 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 85 games (+11.32 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 84 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 91 games (+10.76 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 73 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.84 Units / 16% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 73-72 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -1.77% ROI).
- 46-99 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.35 Units / -16.02% ROI
- 75-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 2.08% ROI
- 64-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -11.32% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 74-72 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 0.44% ROI).
- 82-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -3.47% ROI
- 77-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 2.15% ROI
- 66-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.55 Units / -11.06% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (48/143) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (15/74) against Paul Blackburn on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has a strike rate of just 60% (583/969) in two strike counts since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has allowed a BABIP of .361 this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .296 — second Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .444 (20 GB hits out of 45 GBs) against Hunter Brown with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .251 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (155/258) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.9 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (275 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 87.1
Hunter Brown has averaged 91.8 MPH on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 85.0 — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 26-72 (.265) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Athletics are just 31-63 (.330) after a home loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Athletics are just 87-9 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 132-15 (.898) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Astros are 87-19 (.821) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 37-19 (.661) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Astros are 93-16 (.853) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .212 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Athletics are batting just .225 this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,469 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 1,002 strikeouts in 5,589 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 622 strikeouts in 3,508 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.11 (618.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 618 of 5,716 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Athletics pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (1343.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.77 (632.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Ryne Stanek (Astros): Ankle, D15
- Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
- Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D15
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