- The Astros (93-50) are -300 favorites vs the Athletics (52-91)
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (3-9), 4.78 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr. (3-1), 2.19 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Oakland Athletics (+240) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-300) on Thursday, September 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 50-90 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 73-67 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -125 | O 8 -110 | +240 |
| Astros | -2.5 +105 | U 8 -110 | -300 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Thursday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 away games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+17.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 67 games at home (+16.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trey Mancini | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trey Mancini | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Trey Mancini | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 -105 |
| James Kaprielian | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 85 of their last 130 games (+30.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 87 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 68-72 against the Run Line (-18.35 Units / -10.13% ROI).
- 50-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.9 Units / -14.25% ROI
- 63-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -10% ROI
- 71-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 1.4% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 73-67 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 3.99% ROI).
- 91-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 4.59% ROI
- 49-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.8 Units / -25.94% ROI
- 82-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.85 Units / 17.96% ROI
James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Kaprielian has allowed a slugging percentage of .712 (52 Total Bases / 73 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .436 — 0 Percentile.
James Kaprielian has walked 31 of 231 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
James Kaprielian has a strikeout rate of just 31% (76 SO in 242 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
James Kaprielian has located his pitches away 58% of the time (514/892) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (11/105) against Lance McCullers with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Lance McCullers’ pitches in the zone (918/1,561) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (829/2,348) against Lance McCullers in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (182/805) against Lance McCullers on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 6-40 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Athletics are just 2-71 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics are just 40-12 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .883.
The Athletics are just 6-70 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 45-6 (.882) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Astros are 56-3 (.949) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Astros are 47-22 (.681) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Astros are 36-13 (.735) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,543 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .591 (2,543 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 674 strikeouts in 3,729 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 804 strikeouts in 4,389 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 2,279 strikeouts in 11,652 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.96 (106.0 IP) this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 9% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Athletics have allowed 7.00 runs per game (84/12) this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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