Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Astros (94-50) are -375 favorites vs the Athletics (52-92)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (4-4), 5.58 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (16-3), 1.83 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Oakland Athletics (+300) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-375) on Friday, September 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are ATS.

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+2.5 -115O 7.5 -115+300
Astros -2.5 -105U 7.5 -105-375

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Friday‘s matchup with confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 31 away games (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 away games (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+17.70 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 68 games at home (+15.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games at home (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Chas McCormick 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jose Altuve 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +290 0.5 -500

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Chas McCormick 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Kyle Tucker 1.5 +195 1.5 -300

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Chas McCormick 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jose Altuve 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +120 0.5 -165

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adrian Martinez 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 85 of their last 131 games (+29.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games at home (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 65 games at home (+9.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games at home (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Adrian Martinez has allowed an OBP of .556 (27 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 0 Percentile.

Adrian Martinez has a strikeout rate of just 25% (6 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 41% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .405 (17-for-42) against Adrian Martinez this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.

Adrian Martinez has allowed an OBP of .435 (46 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .304 — second Percentile.

Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .244 (303 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 94th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .512 (582 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .190 (104-for-547) against Justin Verlander this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 94th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .231 (581 PA’s) since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 6-40 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Athletics are just 40-12 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .883.

The Athletics are just 14-38 (.269) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Athletics are just 29-43 (.403) on the road this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 45-6 (.882) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Astros are 46-28 (.622) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Astros are 40-4 (.909) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Astros are 48-22 (.686) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,543 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Astros hitters have just 674 strikeouts in 3,732 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 804 strikeouts in 4,392 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have just 294 strikeouts in 1,651 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.87 (114.0 IP) this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.

The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.99 (104.1 IP) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.

The Athletics have won just 16% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this month (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (1282.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.