- The Blue Jays are -300 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Watch the game on SNET
The Oakland Athletics (+230) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-300) on Friday, June 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 19-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 35-41 ATS.
Athletics vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -125 | O 9 -105 | +230 |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +105 | U 9 -115 | -300 |
Athletics vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 89.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 40 games (+23.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+14.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.45 Units / 88% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| James Kaprielian | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.80 Units / 81% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 51 games (+17.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 35-42 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -11.26% ROI).
- 19-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.1 Units / -32.53% ROI
- 37-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 37-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -3.53% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 35-41 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -9.79% ROI).
- 41-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 35-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -7.87% ROI
- 38-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.95% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .444 (24 GB hits out of 54 GBs) against James Kaprielian this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
James Kaprielian has walked 10 of 58 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
James Kaprielian has walked 24 of 170 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 13% (4/31) against James Kaprielian on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .262 SLG vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .616 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.
Chris Bassitt allowed a batting average of just .180 vs right-handed batters (third best)– 96th Percentile and .285 vs left-handed batters this season (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 19th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .616 (93 Total Bases / 151 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .404 — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (80/441) against Chris Bassitt since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Athletics are just 9-5 (.643) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Athletics are just 65-8 (.890) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Athletics are just 10-47 (.175) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Athletics are just 10-6 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Blue Jays are 5-2 (.714) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Blue Jays are 115-28 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Blue Jays are 54-76 (.415) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Blue Jays are 20-25 (.444) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 24% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (4,286 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .185 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 124 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 95 strikeouts in 537 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 336 of 3,072 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 50% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.90 (325.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 664 of 8,955 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Alejandro Kirk (Blue Jays): Hand, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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