- The Blue Jays are -275 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on SNET
The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 20-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 36-42 ATS.
Athletics vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -125 | O 9 -110 | +220 |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +105 | U 9 -110 | -275 |
Athletics vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 87.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 31 games (+14.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+9.80 Units / 82% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 42 games (+21.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+13.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carlos Perez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -200 |
| Carlos Perez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Perez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Medina | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games (+15.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 37 away games (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+9.15 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 53 games (+17.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 36-43 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -10.61% ROI).
- 20-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.5 Units / -29.69% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -3.63% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -4.78% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 36-42 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -10.06% ROI).
- 42-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -6.5% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -2.26% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (66 Total Bases / 104 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .420 — second Percentile.
Luis Medina has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (27 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .396 — fourth Percentile.
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (42/98) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Luis Medina has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 54% (138/257) of the time this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (96 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 80.7
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .769 (50 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .428 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 40 of 286 batters (14%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (50 Total Bases / 85 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — first Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Athletics are just 9-5 (.643) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Athletics are just 60-13 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Athletics are just 10-6 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Athletics are just 18-48 (.273) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Blue Jays are 54-77 (.412) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are 5-2 (.714) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Blue Jays are 3-29 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Blue Jays are 26-19 (.578) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (4,286 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,539 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .630 (6,539 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters have just 101 strikeouts in 568 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Blue Jays are batting .186 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 51% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 341 of 3,147 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 4 of 103 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Blue Jays vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Yimi GarcÃa (Blue Jays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Alejandro Kirk (Blue Jays): Hand, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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