- The Brewers are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Oakland Athletics (+180) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-225) on Sunday, June 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Athletics vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 16-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 29-36 ATS.
Athletics vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -115 | O 8 -105 | +180 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -105 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Athletics vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 72.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+11.35 Units / 87% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 46 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Brewers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Brewers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
| Freddy Peralta | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -140 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.70 Units / 114% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+14.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 64 games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 27-39 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -19.8% ROI).
- 16-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.8 Units / -34.47% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 2.32% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -10.99% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 29-36 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -12.24% ROI).
- 34-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.39% ROI
- 26-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -19.54% ROI
- 36-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 10.19% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (50/182) against JP Sears this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (28/184) against JP Sears on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (8/108) against JP Sears on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (36/142) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .216 (8-for-37) against Freddy Peralta on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .346 — 98th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of .400 (32 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — eighth Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of .451 (60 Total Bases / 133 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — 15th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of .459 (118 Total Bases / 257 ABs) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 13th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Athletics are just 7-4 (.636) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Athletics are just 1-6 (.143) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .549.
The Athletics are just 8-3 (.727) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Athletics are just 62-8 (.886) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Brewers are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Brewers are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Brewers are 5-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .784.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,033 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .193 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have 619 strikeouts in 2,329 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have 179 strikeouts in 618 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .219 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 304 of 2,647 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.40 (578.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 50% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 39 of 576 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Brewers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- John Sousa (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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