- The Brewers are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Samuel Moll
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Oakland Athletics (+190) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-250) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Athletics vs Brewers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 14-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 29-34 ATS.
Athletics vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -120 | +190 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -125 | U 9.5 +100 | -250 |
Athletics vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 85.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+13.35 Units / 121% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.80 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+10.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+9.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 77% ROI)
Brewers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Brewers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Brewers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Brewers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+7.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 62 games (+4.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 25-39 against the Run Line (-16.8 Units / -23.35% ROI).
- 14-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.45 Units / -41.23% ROI
- 34-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 5.55% ROI
- 27-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -14.19% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 29-34 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -9.68% ROI).
- 34-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 3.9% ROI
- 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -16.94% ROI
- 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 7.61% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has allowed a slugging percentage of .852 (23 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .395 — second Percentile.
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (14/39) — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (14/39) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 3rd lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Luis Medina has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (74 Total Bases / 121 ABs) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .417 — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (40/67) against Adrian Houser this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has located his fastballs down 46% of the time (732/1,576) since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has a strikeout rate of just 14% (19 SO in 135 PAs) this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 53% (576/1,081) of the time since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Athletics are just 6-5 (.545) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Athletics are just 5-4 (.556) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Athletics are just 12-39 (.235) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Athletics are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Brewers are 5-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Brewers are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Brewers are 23-13 (.639) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 22% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,033 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .220 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .634 (607 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Brewers are batting just .211 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Brewers are batting just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have allowed 6.72 runs per game (430/64) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 51% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 37 of 557 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 33 of 491 batters (7%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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