- The Cardinals are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Wednesday, August 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 32-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 60-60 ATS.
Athletics vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -130 | O 9.5 -120 | +145 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 +100 | -175 |
Athletics vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 76.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.55 Units / 69% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Medina has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 away games (+6.65 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+12.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 48% ROI)
Cardinals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cardinals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Matthew Liberatore | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 106 games (+21.24 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 away games (+10.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+8.74 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 59 games (+6.54 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 56-63 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -8.39% ROI).
- 32-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.3 Units / -27.33% ROI
- 61-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 1.96% ROI
- 52-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -11.2% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 60-60 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -2.28% ROI).
- 54-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.1 Units / -17.86% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -4.11% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -3.94% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (23/118) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (26/132) against Paul Blackburn on non-fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 10% (6/57) against Paul Blackburn on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 13% (7/54) against Paul Blackburn on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.1 innings pitched — Tayler Saucedo has the longest active streak at 18.0.
Matthew Liberatore allowed an OBP of just .080 (25 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (26/50) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore allowed an OPS of just .160 (25 PA’s) — 3rd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .647 — 97th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Athletics are just 21-7 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Athletics are just 72-58 (.554) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 19-66 (.224) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-47 (.041) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are 25-16 (.610) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .639 (7,573 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .351 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (7,573 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,036 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have 351 extra-base hits out of 858 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals are batting .263 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Cardinals are batting .293 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Athletics pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Athletics have allowed 6.43 runs per game (392/61) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 66 of 1,061 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Willson Contreras (Cardinals): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D15
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D15
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