Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2023, 12:53 PM
  • The Diamondbacks are -120 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Shintaro Fujinami, 0.00 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen

The Oakland Athletics (+110) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5.

The Athletics vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Athletics are 0-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 3-4 ATS.

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5O 9.5 +100+110
Diamondbacks -1.5U 9.5 -120-130

Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • No trends found

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Beer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jordan Luplow has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 79 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 70 away games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -62.22% ROI).

  • 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -81.48% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -21.1% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.22% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 3-4 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -22.92% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -24.83% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 11.11% ROI

Shintaro Fujinami is making his MLB debut today.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted just .186 (121-for-651) against Zac Gallen last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .135 (23-for-171) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Zac Gallen allowed an OPS of just .751 (99 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.001 — 97th Percentile.

Zac Gallen allowed an OBP of just .252 (713 PA’s) last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 93rd Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Athletics are just 29-52 (.358) at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Athletics are just 58-87 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Athletics are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 13-42 (.236) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Athletics hitters had an OPS of just .604 (2,878 PA’s) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Athletics have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Athletics pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.