- The Guardians are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Guardians starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-250) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 19-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 34-37 ATS.
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 9 -120 | +200 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -130 | U 9 +100 | -250 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 83.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+16.50 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+17.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+11.50 Units / 76% ROI)
- Cam Gallagher has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.45 Units / 51% ROI)
Guardians vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Guardians vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+15.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+9.30 Units / 186% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+16.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 33-41 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -12.55% ROI).
- 19-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.1 Units / -29.8% ROI
- 36-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 35-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -4.9% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 34-37 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -4.29% ROI).
- 33-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -13.97% ROI
- 26-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -19 Units / -24.45% ROI
- 41-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 15.84% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has allowed a slugging percentage of .703 (26 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .397 — fourth Percentile.
Luis Medina has a strikeout rate of just 11% (5 SO in 44 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (8/81) against Luis Medina when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Luis Medina has an ERA of 7.48 (21.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 4.24 — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.9 MPH against his curves since last season (69 balls in play) — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 87.4
64 of Aaron Civale’s 120 strikeouts (53%) have come on curveballs since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (11/73) against Aaron Civale on low breaking pitches since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .175 (31-for-177) against Aaron Civale’s curve and slider since last season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 92nd Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Athletics are just 65-8 (.890) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Athletics are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Athletics are just 10-5 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 25-79 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Guardians are 17-85 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Guardians are just 12-20 (.375) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Guardians are 27-4 (.871) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (4,286 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 24% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .636 (8,638 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .348 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,625 strikeouts in 8,830 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,159 strikeouts in 6,496 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .352 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.05 (653.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.05 (300.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Athletics have allowed 6.28 runs per game (465/74) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 133 of 2,099 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 45 of 639 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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