- The Guardians are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 19-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 34-38 ATS.
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | O 8 +100 | +150 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -120 | -185 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 76.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+15.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+9.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Guardians vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Guardians vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Guardians vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 away games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+9.00 Units / 129% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games (+17.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 34-41 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -11.14% ROI).
- 19-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.1 Units / -30.74% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -4.85% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -3.62% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 34-38 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -5.58% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -12.48% ROI
- 26-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.15 Units / -25.55% ROI
- 42-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.45 Units / 16.89% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Blackburn has an ERA of 6.62 (53.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — fourth Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has an ERA of 2.38 (83.1 IP) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 4.12 — 97th Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has allowed three-ball counts to 3% of batters they faced (9/282 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has struck out 28% (7/25) of left-handed batters he faced — 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 82nd Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Athletics are just 17-45 (.274) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Athletics are just 60-12 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .597.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 26-79 (.248) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Guardians are 10-22 (.312) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians are just 21-6 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,677 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 24% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,418 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .607 (4,286 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,164 strikeouts in 6,522 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 330 of 3,001 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.00 (662.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 50% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 134 of 2,109 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 32 of 237 batters (14%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (316.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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