- The – are favorites vs the –
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Oakland Athletics () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Thursday, June 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 19-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 34-39 ATS.
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 76.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cam Gallagher has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.65 Units / 89% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cam Gallagher has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Guardians vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Carlos Perez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carlos Perez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carlos Perez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| JP Sears | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 away games (+10.00 Units / 105% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+9.00 Units / 112% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+16.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+8.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+6.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games at home (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 35-41 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -9.8% ROI).
- 19-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.1 Units / -31.65% ROI
- 37-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -3.6% ROI
- 36-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -4.78% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 34-39 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -6.6% ROI).
- 35-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -11.15% ROI
- 27-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.15 Units / -23.92% ROI
- 42-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 15.44% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (11/117) against JP Sears on breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (58/215) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (10/116) against JP Sears on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (43/168) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .056 (1 GB hit out of 18 GBs) against Logan Allen with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% (24/63) against Domingo German’s changeup in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (23/35) against Logan Allen’s changeup this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .297 (19-for-64) against Logan Allen versus the bottom of the order this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 11th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 60-13 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Athletics are just 10-6 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Athletics are just 9-5 (.643) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Athletics are just 17-46 (.270) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 26-79 (.248) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Guardians are 10-22 (.312) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are 18-85 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Guardians are 26-61 (.299) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,453 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Athletics are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .344 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .629 (6,453 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,173 strikeouts in 6,556 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,643 strikeouts in 8,910 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have allowed 6.25 runs per game (475/76) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.55.
The Athletics have allowed 6.66 runs per game (253/38) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Athletics pitchers have walked 331 of 3,039 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.00 (670.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 135 of 2,118 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (852.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- William Brennan (Guardians): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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