- The Guardians (26-26) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (20-38)
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (0-3), 6.061 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Konnor Pilkington (1-0), 2.647 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Thursday, June 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 20-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 28-24 ATS.
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | +150 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | -185 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s matchup with 78.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games (+12.60 Units / 82% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+6.10 Units / 122% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+3.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+9.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.26 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 49% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 27-31 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -16.03% ROI).
- 20-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -20.6% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -11.59% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.13% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 28-24 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 4.2% ROI).
- 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.08% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -2.95% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -6.14% ROI
James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Kaprielian had a first-pitch strike rate of just 39% (9/23) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
James Kaprielian has allowed an OBP of just .248 (311 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 96th Percentile.
James Kaprielian has struck out just 11% (8/72) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
James Kaprielian has located his pitches away 57% of the time (336/586) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Konnor Pilkington: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Konnor Pilkington has not allowed a home run in any of the last 17.0 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 63.2.
Konnor Pilkington has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to May 8th — Patrick Sandoval has the longest active streak at 9.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 7-24 (.226) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Athletics are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Athletics are just 1-15 (.062) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Athletics are just 20-32 (.385) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .073.
The Guardians are just 13-17 (.433) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Guardians are 19-2 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Guardians are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .308 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .320 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .595 (2,073 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,474 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Guardians hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,408 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .624 (549 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 81% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 621 of 8,239 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 158 of 2,463 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 4 of 106 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Guardians have have still managed to win 44% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
- Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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