Athletics vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 9

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Guardians (26-26) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (20-38)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (0-3), 6.061 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Konnor Pilkington (1-0), 2.647 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Thursday, June 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 20-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 28-24 ATS.

Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -135O 8.5 +100+150
Guardians -1.5 +110U 8.5 -120-185

Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s matchup with 78.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games (+12.60 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+6.10 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+3.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+9.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.26 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 49% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 27-31 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -16.03% ROI).

  • 20-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -20.6% ROI
  • 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -11.59% ROI
  • 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.13% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 28-24 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 4.2% ROI).

  • 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.08% ROI
  • 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -2.95% ROI
  • 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -6.14% ROI

James Kaprielian had a first-pitch strike rate of just 39% (9/23) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.

James Kaprielian has allowed an OBP of just .248 (311 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 96th Percentile.

James Kaprielian has struck out just 11% (8/72) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

James Kaprielian has located his pitches away 57% of the time (336/586) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Konnor Pilkington: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Konnor Pilkington has not allowed a home run in any of the last 17.0 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 63.2.

Konnor Pilkington has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to May 8th — Patrick Sandoval has the longest active streak at 9.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Athletics are just 7-24 (.226) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Athletics are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Athletics are just 1-15 (.062) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Athletics are just 20-32 (.385) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Guardians are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .073.

The Guardians are just 13-17 (.433) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Guardians are 19-2 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Guardians are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .308 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .320 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .595 (2,073 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,474 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

29% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Guardians hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,408 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .624 (549 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 81% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 621 of 8,239 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 158 of 2,463 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 4 of 106 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Guardians have have still managed to win 44% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.