- The Mariners are -300 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Oakland Athletics (+230) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-300) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 37-94 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 68-63 ATS.
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +115 | O 8 -115 | +230 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -135 | U 8 -105 | -300 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 88.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 79% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+13.65 Units / 105% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+12.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -145 |
| Ken Waldichuk | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 118 games (+20.28 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 67 away games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.04 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 72 games (+3.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 71 games (+3.17 Units / 4% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 51 games (+19.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+15.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.68 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games at home (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 61-70 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -9.25% ROI).
- 37-94 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.15 Units / -25.35% ROI
- 68-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 2.74% ROI
- 57-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.2 Units / -12.06% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 68-63 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 2.08% ROI).
- 75-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.74% ROI
- 66-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -1.62% ROI
- 62-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -6.95% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ken Waldichuk has allowed three-ball counts to 20% of batters they faced (102/521 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 11% — second Percentile.
Seth Lugo allowed an OBP of just .228 (114 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2022 — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (41/69) against Seth Lugo in two-strike counts in 2022 — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
7 of Seth Lugo’s 28 breaking pitch strikeouts (25%) were backdoor in 2022 — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 95th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has a strike rate of 70% (787/1,124) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 9 of 290 left-handed batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (1,642/2,325) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 7.2 (65/9) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.8 — 97th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 22-70 (.239) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Athletics are just 25-11 (.694) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Athletics are just 76-59 (.563) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 42-3 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are 127-5 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners are 23-15 (.605) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 79-21 (.790) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (5,254 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .639 (7,886 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Mariners are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of .995 (563 PA’s) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.48 (558.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.
The Athletics have allowed 6.27 runs per game (420/67) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 326 of 4,842 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 20 of 474 batters (4%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 777 of 10,872 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
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