Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (37-41) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (25-53)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (0-5), 5.88 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (4-8), 3.30 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-185) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 25-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-38 ATS.

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -135O 8.5 -115+150
Mariners -1.5 +110U 8.5 -105-185

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sheldon Neuse has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Sheldon Neuse has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Sheldon Neuse has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+4.30 Units / 54% ROI)

Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Carlos Santana 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Dylan Moore 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Carlos Santana 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Dylan Moore 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Carlos Santana 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Dylan Moore 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +155 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
James Kaprielian 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Marco Gonzales 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 39 away games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 39 away games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 69 games (+3.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 35-43 against the Run Line (-19 Units / -18.34% ROI).

  • 25-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.35 Units / -25.97% ROI
  • 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -11.06% ROI
  • 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 1.82% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 40-38 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -3.6% ROI).

  • 37-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -4.5% ROI
  • 37-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -6.53% ROI
  • 39-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.91% ROI

James Kaprielian walked 4 of 21 batters (19%) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

James Kaprielian has thrown his fastball for a strike just 58% (281/486) of the time this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.

James Kaprielian has located his pitches away 59% of the time (127/215) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

James Kaprielian has a strikeout rate of just 16% (36 SO in 228 PAs) this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.

Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (47 SO in 164 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (36/243) against Marco Gonzales this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (585/1,211) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (48 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 17-7 (.708) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Athletics are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Athletics are just 8-29 (.216) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Athletics are just 25-45 (.357) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Mariners are 18-5 (.783) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .678.

The Mariners are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Mariners are 28-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .923.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .270 (1,990 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

The Athletics are batting just .197 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,798 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .604 (2,798 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Mariners hitters have drawn 94 walks in 823 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics pitchers have walked 58 of 492 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 78% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 124 times since the start of last season — 3rd most in MLB.

Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.