- The Mariners (37-41) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (25-53)
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (0-5), 5.88 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (4-8), 3.30 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-185) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 25-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-38 ATS.
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sheldon Neuse has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Sheldon Neuse has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Sheldon Neuse has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+4.30 Units / 54% ROI)
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Kaprielian | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Marco Gonzales | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 39 away games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 39 away games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 69 games (+3.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 35-43 against the Run Line (-19 Units / -18.34% ROI).
- 25-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.35 Units / -25.97% ROI
- 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -11.06% ROI
- 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 1.82% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 40-38 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -3.6% ROI).
- 37-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -4.5% ROI
- 37-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -6.53% ROI
- 39-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.91% ROI
James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Kaprielian walked 4 of 21 batters (19%) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
James Kaprielian has thrown his fastball for a strike just 58% (281/486) of the time this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
James Kaprielian has located his pitches away 59% of the time (127/215) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
James Kaprielian has a strikeout rate of just 16% (36 SO in 228 PAs) this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (47 SO in 164 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (36/243) against Marco Gonzales this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (585/1,211) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (48 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 17-7 (.708) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Athletics are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Athletics are just 8-29 (.216) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Athletics are just 25-45 (.357) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Mariners are 18-5 (.783) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .678.
The Mariners are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Mariners are 28-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .923.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .270 (1,990 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Athletics are batting just .197 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,798 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .604 (2,798 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Mariners hitters have drawn 94 walks in 823 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 58 of 492 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 78% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 124 times since the start of last season — 3rd most in MLB.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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