Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (37-42) are -190 favorites vs the Athletics (26-53)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn (6-3), 3.12 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-3), 4.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-190) on Saturday, July 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 26-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-39 ATS.

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -140O 7.5 -120+155
Mariners -1.5 +115U 7.5 +100-190

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sheldon Neuse has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Sheldon Neuse has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Sheldon Neuse has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 51% ROI)

Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Carlos Santana 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Dylan Moore 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Carlos Santana 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Dylan Moore 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Carlos Santana 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Dylan Moore 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
Paul Blackburn 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 70 games (+4.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 36-43 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -17.14% ROI).

  • 26-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.8 Units / -23.8% ROI
  • 34-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -12.22% ROI
  • 40-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 2.95% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 40-39 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -4.51% ROI).

  • 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -6.23% ROI
  • 37-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -7.76% ROI
  • 40-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.74% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (265/635) against Paul Blackburn this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has thrown his fastball for a strike just 59% (339/572) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 43% of Paul Blackburn’s pitches (538/1,249) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — fourth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 54% of Paul Blackburn’s pitches (186/342) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .562 (59 Total Bases / 105 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .362 — first Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (47 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .366 — first Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 7 of 225 batters (3%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has a strikeout rate of just 17% (11 SO in 66 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 33% — second Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 18-7 (.720) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Athletics are just 22-5 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Athletics are just 8-29 (.216) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Athletics are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 18-5 (.783) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .676.

The Mariners are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Mariners are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Mariners are just 6-18 (.250) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .270 (2,003 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,839 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .558 (1,292 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .327 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Mariners hitters have drawn 94 walks in 823 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

The Mariners are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Athletics pitchers have walked 58 of 486 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 78% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Athletics have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Mariners pitchers over the last 14 days (14 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Mariners have won just 16% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.