- The Mariners (37-42) are -190 favorites vs the Athletics (26-53)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn (6-3), 3.12 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-3), 4.07 ERA
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-190) on Saturday, July 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 26-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-39 ATS.
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -140 | O 7.5 -120 | +155 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +115 | U 7.5 +100 | -190 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sheldon Neuse has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Sheldon Neuse has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sheldon Neuse has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 51% ROI)
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
| Paul Blackburn | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 70 games (+4.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 36-43 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -17.14% ROI).
- 26-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.8 Units / -23.8% ROI
- 34-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -12.22% ROI
- 40-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 2.95% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 40-39 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -4.51% ROI).
- 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -6.23% ROI
- 37-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -7.76% ROI
- 40-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.74% ROI
Paul Blackburn: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (265/635) against Paul Blackburn this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has thrown his fastball for a strike just 59% (339/572) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 43% of Paul Blackburn’s pitches (538/1,249) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Paul Blackburn’s pitches (186/342) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .562 (59 Total Bases / 105 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .362 — first Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (47 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .366 — first Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 7 of 225 batters (3%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strikeout rate of just 17% (11 SO in 66 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 33% — second Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 18-7 (.720) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Athletics are just 22-5 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Athletics are just 8-29 (.216) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Athletics are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 18-5 (.783) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .676.
The Mariners are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Mariners are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Mariners are just 6-18 (.250) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .270 (2,003 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,839 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .558 (1,292 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .327 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Mariners hitters have drawn 94 walks in 823 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Mariners are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 58 of 486 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 78% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Mariners pitchers over the last 14 days (14 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Mariners have won just 16% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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