- The Mariners (38-42) are -150 favorites vs the Athletics (26-54)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (3-8), 3.19 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (6-6), 3.77 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Oakland Athletics (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 26-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-40 ATS.
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -185 | O 6.5 -105 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +150 | U 6.5 -115 | -150 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 -105 |
| Robbie Ray | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 71 games (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 41 away games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 37-43 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -15.98% ROI).
- 26-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.8 Units / -24.7% ROI
- 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -13.21% ROI
- 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 4.05% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 40-40 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -5.41% ROI).
- 38-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -5.07% ROI
- 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -8.81% ROI
- 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.39% ROI
Francelis Montas: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has walked 7 of 187 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 92nd Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 52% (71/136) against Frankie Montas this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (47/191) against Frankie Montas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
31% of Frankie Montas’ strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (435/962) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (477/910) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,354/3,184) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has allowed a slugging percentage of .794 (27 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .433 — fourth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 18-8 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Athletics are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .922.
The Athletics are just 8-29 (.216) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Athletics are just 26-46 (.361) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 28-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .922.
The Mariners are just 11-36 (.234) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Mariners are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Mariners are 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .078.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .593 (2,031 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .269 (2,031 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Athletics are batting just .197 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .558 (1,292 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Mariners hitters have drawn 94 walks in 827 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Mariners are batting just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 56 of 479 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 708 of 9,073 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Athletics have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 31 of 470 batters (7%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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