Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 3

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (38-42) are -150 favorites vs the Athletics (26-54)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (3-8), 3.19 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (6-6), 3.77 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Oakland Athletics (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 26-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-40 ATS.

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -185O 6.5 -105+125
Mariners -1.5 +150U 6.5 -115-150

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Adam Frazier 0.5 +1050 0.5
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Carlos Santana 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Dylan Moore 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Adam Frazier 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Carlos Santana 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Dylan Moore 0.5 +110 0.5 -155

Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Adam Frazier 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Carlos Santana 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Dylan Moore 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Frankie Montas 6.5 -135 6.5 -105
Robbie Ray 7.5 -105 7.5 -135
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 71 games (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 41 away games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 31% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 37-43 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -15.98% ROI).

  • 26-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.8 Units / -24.7% ROI
  • 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -13.21% ROI
  • 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 4.05% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 40-40 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -5.41% ROI).

  • 38-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -5.07% ROI
  • 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -8.81% ROI
  • 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.39% ROI

Frankie Montas has walked 7 of 187 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 92nd Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 52% (71/136) against Frankie Montas this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (47/191) against Frankie Montas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

31% of Frankie Montas’ strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (435/962) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (477/910) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,354/3,184) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has allowed a slugging percentage of .794 (27 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .433 — fourth Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 18-8 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Athletics are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .922.

The Athletics are just 8-29 (.216) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Athletics are just 26-46 (.361) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 28-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .922.

The Mariners are just 11-36 (.234) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Mariners are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Mariners are 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .078.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .593 (2,031 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .269 (2,031 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

The Athletics are batting just .197 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .558 (1,292 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Mariners hitters have drawn 94 walks in 827 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mariners are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Mariners are batting just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Athletics pitchers have walked 56 of 479 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 708 of 9,073 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Athletics have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 31 of 470 batters (7%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.