Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 01, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners (86-70) are -225 favorites vs the Athletics (56-101)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears (6-3), 4.21 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (7-6), 3.05 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Oakland Athletics (+180) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-225) on Saturday, October 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 56-101 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 81-75 ATS.

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -120O 6.5 +100+180
Mariners -1.5 +100U 6.5 -120-225

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Conner Capel has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.80 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Vimael Machin has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 45 of his last 63 games at home (+13.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 36% ROI)

Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Dylan Moore 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Jesse Winker 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Sam Haggerty 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Conner Capel 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Dylan Moore 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jesse Winker 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Sam Haggerty 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Conner Capel 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Dylan Moore 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jesse Winker 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Sam Haggerty 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Conner Capel 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Castillo 5.5 -165 5.5 +120
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 away games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 away games (+8.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games at home (+20.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 88 games (+15.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+6.77 Units / 19% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 76-81 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -9.64% ROI).

  • 56-101 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -11.73% ROI
  • 71-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.4 Units / -9.98% ROI
  • 80-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 1.37% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 81-75 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -2.52% ROI).

  • 86-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 2.61% ROI
  • 71-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -7.83% ROI
  • 78-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.29% ROI

JP Sears has limited playing time.

Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

58% of Luis Castillo’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to September 2nd — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 7.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 47% (59 SO in 125 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .101 (11-for-109) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 99th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 7-46 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Athletics are just 54-86 (.386) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Athletics are just 43-12 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 44-37 (.543) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Mariners are 57-10 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Mariners are 38-6 (.864) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Mariners are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .279 (4,213 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .277 (2,762 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .605 (2,762 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Athletics have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Athletics have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The average home run distance against the Mariners pitchers since the start of last season is 395.6 feet — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4

Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Collin Wiles (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Joel Payamps (Athletics): Lumbar, D15
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.