- The Marlins are -200 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Hogan Harris
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Oakland Athletics (+165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-200) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Marlins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 12-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 23-34 ATS.
Athletics vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Athletics | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 +100 | +165 |
Marlins | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -120 | -200 |
Athletics vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 80.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Marlins vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brent Rooker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Ryan Noda | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Seth Brown | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
JJ Bleday | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
Marlins vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brent Rooker | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Ryan Noda | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
Seth Brown | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
JJ Bleday | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
Marlins vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brent Rooker | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Ryan Noda | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Seth Brown | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
JJ Bleday | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Marlins vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Edward Cabrera | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -165 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 22-36 against the Run Line (-16.55 Units / -25.44% ROI).
- 12-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.35 Units / -45.31% ROI
- 30-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.78% ROI
- 26-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -10.43% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 23-34 against the Run Line (-18.65 Units / -24.17% ROI).
- 29-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.66% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -12.41% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.31% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hogan Harris allowed a slugging percentage of just .067 (1 Total Bases / 15 ABs) — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 96th Percentile.
Hogan Harris has allowed an OPS of just .192 (16 PA’s) over the last 14 days (1 games) — 6th best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .657 — 95th Percentile.
Hogan Harris allowed an OPS of just .192 (16 PA’s) — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 96th Percentile.
Hogan Harris allowed an OBP of just .125 (16 PA’s) — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — 96th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 20 of 90 batters (22%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 35 of 232 batters (15%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (30/71) against Edward Cabrera when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has a strike rate of just 58% (259/448) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Athletics are just 12-46 (.207) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 10-37 (.213) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Athletics are just 4-5 (.444) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Athletics are just 2-10 (.167) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Marlins are just 29-22 (.569) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Marlins are just 11-11 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Marlins are just 76-12 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Marlins are just 11-77 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 21% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,884 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 184 total hits (just 23%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 64 double plays in 390 opportunities (16%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Marlins are batting .327 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 53% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.82 (222.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.63 (509.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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