- The Marlins are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Pérez
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Oakland Athletics (+180) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-225) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Athletics vs Marlins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 12-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 24-34 ATS.
Athletics vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | +180 |
| Marlins | -1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Athletics vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+11.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+9.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Marlins vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Nick Fortes | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Marlins vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Nick Fortes | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Marlins vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nick Fortes | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Medina | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Eury Perez | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +110 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+7.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 47 games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 90% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 22-37 against the Run Line (-17.75 Units / -26.79% ROI).
- 12-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.35 Units / -46.24% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.08% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -8.72% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 24-34 against the Run Line (-17.65 Units / -22.58% ROI).
- 30-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -14.05% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 5.81% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (66 Total Bases / 110 ABs) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .418 — third Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (7/61) against Luis Medina when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Luis Medina has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to April 26th — Aaron Nola has the longest active streak at 8.
Luis Medina has an ERA of 7.48 (21.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — fourth Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (15/50) against Eury Perez over the last 30 days (4 games) — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 10th Percentile.
Eury Perez has walked 10 of 79 batters (13%) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Eury Perez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 49% (29/59) of opposing batters over the last 30 days (4 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (48/149) against Eury Perez over the last 30 days (4 games) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 92nd Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Athletics are just 12-47 (.203) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Athletics are just 10-38 (.208) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Athletics are just 2-10 (.167) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Marlins are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Marlins are just 70-18 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Marlins are just 11-11 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Marlins are just 77-12 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (5,910 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,033 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .654 (1,856 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,856 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 147 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.71 (230.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 53% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.60 (517.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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