- The Marlins are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Oakland Athletics (+180) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-225) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Athletics vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 12-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 25-34 ATS.
Athletics vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -110 | O 7.5 +100 | +180 |
| Marlins | -1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -120 | -225 |
Athletics vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 85.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+13.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+12.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
Marlins vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luis Arraez | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Marlins vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
Marlins vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Luis Arraez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Sandy Alcantara | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 46 games (+18.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 62% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 22-38 against the Run Line (-18.85 Units / -27.99% ROI).
- 12-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.35 Units / -47.13% ROI
- 31-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 1.42% ROI
- 27-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -10.25% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 25-34 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -21.01% ROI).
- 31-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 4.4% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -12.28% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 4.02% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.6 MPH on the 128 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 87.3.
Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.7 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (55 balls in play) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 89.6
Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.7 MPH against his curves since last season (62 balls in play) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 87.3
Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.7 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (172 balls in play) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 87.0
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (1,373/1,908) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 71% (346/488) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 98th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has an ERA of 4.93 this season — 10th worst among qualified SPs– 13th Percentile. He had an ERA of 2.28 last season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has thrown his changeup 24% of the time (69/292) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Athletics are just 4-5 (.444) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Athletics are just 3-4 (.429) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Athletics are just 12-48 (.200) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 54-12 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Marlins are just 71-18 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Marlins are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Marlins are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Marlins are just 7-8 (.467) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .675.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .610 (4,033 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,033 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have 479 strikeouts in 1,856 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .654 (1,856 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .654 (3,552 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.71 (230.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Athletics pitchers have walked 265 of 2,372 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.60 (517.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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