- The Nationals are -130 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
- Watch the game on MASN
The Oakland Athletics (+110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-130) on Saturday, August 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Nationals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Athletics vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 32-83 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 64-53 ATS.
Athletics vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -110 | +110 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 -110 | -130 |
Athletics vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 57.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cody Thomas has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+10.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+10.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Nationals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Rutherford | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Nationals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Rutherford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Nationals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Rutherford | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Luis Medina | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 102 games (+21.64 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 away games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+8.74 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 55 games (+7.44 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 50% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+10.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 111 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 54-61 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -8.56% ROI).
- 32-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.3 Units / -24.78% ROI
- 59-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.22% ROI
- 50-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -11.43% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 64-53 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 2.91% ROI).
- 51-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.3 Units / 11.17% ROI
- 53-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -8.73% ROI
- 58-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.36% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (179/353) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Medina has a strikeout rate of 55% (50 SO in 91 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Medina has a strikeout rate of just 8% (6 SO in 77 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Medina has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (48 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .443 — first Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 7% (12/178) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (111/661) against Jake Irvin this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (42/285) against Jake Irvin this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (275/680) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Athletics are just 19-62 (.235) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Athletics are just 72-57 (.558) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Athletics are just 21-9 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Nationals are just 31-51 (.378) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Nationals are just 49-89 (.355) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 33-58 (.363) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Nationals are just 5-7 (.417) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Athletics have won just 41% of games in which they have scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 66%.
The Athletics are batting just .222 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .906 (841 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.110.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 35% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 835 strikeouts in 4,401 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have missed on just 22% of swings this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 494 of 4,594 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.73 (475.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
The Athletics have allowed 6.46 runs per game (368/57) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.79 (1018.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Joan Adon (Nationals): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Mason Thompson (Nationals): Knee, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D15
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
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