- The Athletics (49-81) are -115 favorites vs the Nationals (43-86)
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (3-8), 4.87 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-5), 5.72 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Oakland Athletics (-115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Athletics are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Athletics vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 47-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 53-73 ATS.
Athletics vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Athletics vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+18.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 57 of their last 106 games (+5.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 66 of their last 116 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 63-64 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 47-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -11.43% ROI
- 54-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -15.11% ROI
- 68-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.85 Units / 6.36% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 53-73 against the Run Line (-28.6 Units / -18.57% ROI).
- 42-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.35 Units / -16.27% ROI
- 62-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -0.46% ROI
- 57-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -7.58% ROI
James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Kaprielian has walked 31 of 219 right-handed batters (14%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
James Kaprielian has walked 12 of 54 right-handed batters (22%) this month (5 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .432 (16-for-37) against James Kaprielian on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .275 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (16/140) against James Kaprielian when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has walked 9 of 56 right-handed batters (16%) this month (5 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 25% (15 SO in 59 PAs) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .500 (28 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this month (5 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .287 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (11/36) against Anibal Sanchez this month (5 games) — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Athletics are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Athletics are just 22-44 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Athletics are just 47-70 (.402) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 43-6 (.878) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Nationals are just 20-47 (.299) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Nationals are just 43-73 (.371) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 107-24 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Nationals are just 10-46 (.179) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 349 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Athletics have won just 15% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.58 (519.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.18 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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