- The Athletics are -105 favorites vs the Nationals
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk (-), – ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-6), 4.35 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Oakland Athletics (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Thursday, September 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Athletics are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Athletics vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 47-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 54-73 ATS.
Athletics vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 +100 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -120 | -115 |
Athletics vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+18.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Nationals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Nationals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
Nationals vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paolo Espino | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 57 of their last 107 games (+4.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 67 of their last 117 games (+16.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games at home (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 63-65 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -8.83% ROI).
- 47-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -12.19% ROI
- 54-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.35 Units / -15.73% ROI
- 69-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 7.02% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 54-73 against the Run Line (-27.6 Units / -17.73% ROI).
- 43-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.35 Units / -15.38% ROI
- 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.8% ROI
Kenneth Waldichuk: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Paolo Espino: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .247 (44-for-178) against Paolo Espino with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .170 — first Percentile.
Paolo Espino has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 133 opportunities (4%) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Paolo Espino has averaged 88.7 MPH on fastballs since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 93.2 — fourth Percentile.
Paolo Espino has averaged 71.2 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — first Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Athletics are just 1-66 (.015) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Athletics are just 10-35 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Athletics are just 38-10 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Nationals are just 21-47 (.309) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 69-110 (.385) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 10-46 (.179) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Nationals are just 108-24 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .277 (3,456 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 31% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 276 double plays in 2,129 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.58 (519.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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