Athletics vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 01, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Athletics are -105 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk (-), ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-6), 4.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Oakland Athletics (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Thursday, September 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Athletics are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Athletics vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 47-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 54-73 ATS.

Athletics vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics-1.5 +150O 8.5 +100-105
Nationals +1.5 -185U 8.5 -120-115

Athletics vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+18.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Nationals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Joey Meneses 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Lane Thomas 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Luis Garcia 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Luke Voit 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Nationals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Joey Meneses 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Lane Thomas 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Luis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Luke Voit 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Nationals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Joey Meneses 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Lane Thomas 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Luis Garcia 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Luke Voit 0.5 +115 0.5 -165

Nationals vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paolo Espino 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 57 of their last 107 games (+4.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 67 of their last 117 games (+16.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games at home (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 63-65 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -8.83% ROI).

  • 47-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -12.19% ROI
  • 54-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.35 Units / -15.73% ROI
  • 69-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 7.02% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 54-73 against the Run Line (-27.6 Units / -17.73% ROI).

  • 43-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.35 Units / -15.38% ROI
  • 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
  • 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.8% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Paolo Espino: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .247 (44-for-178) against Paolo Espino with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .170 — first Percentile.

Paolo Espino has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 133 opportunities (4%) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.

Paolo Espino has averaged 88.7 MPH on fastballs since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 93.2 — fourth Percentile.

Paolo Espino has averaged 71.2 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — first Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Athletics are just 1-66 (.015) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Athletics are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Athletics are just 10-35 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Athletics are just 38-10 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Nationals are just 21-47 (.309) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Nationals are just 69-110 (.385) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Nationals are just 10-46 (.179) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Nationals are just 108-24 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .277 (3,456 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 31% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 276 double plays in 2,129 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Athletics have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.58 (519.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Nationals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Knee, D10
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.