- The Orioles are -210 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kyle Muller
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Watch the game on MASN
The Oakland Athletics (+170) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-210) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 2-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 6-4 ATS.
Athletics vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -125 | O 8 +100 | +170 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -120 | -210 |
Athletics vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chad Pinder has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+4.65 Units / 116% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Skye Bolt has hit the Runs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Robinson Chirinos has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
Orioles vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Orioles vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Orioles vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Orioles vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Muller | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Rodriguez | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 3-7 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -44.35% ROI).
- 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -46% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 23.32% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -32.11% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 6-4 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 1.34% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 5.05% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 14.22% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -22.12% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (4/29) against Kyle Muller this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Kyle Muller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (8 Total Bases / 40 ABs) this season — 15th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 86th Percentile.
Kyle Muller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (6 Total Bases / 34 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — 89th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (19/32) against Kyle Muller this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
40% of Grayson Rodriguez’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (7/15) against Grayson Rodriguez on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has recorded 4 of his 5 strikeouts (80%) with his fastball this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Grayson Rodriguez’s pitches (44/83) this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 90th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Athletics were just 6-11 (.353) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Athletics were just 29-52 (.358) at home in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 43-48 (.473) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Athletics are just 6-11 (.353) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .544.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Orioles are just 62-46 (.574) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Orioles are just 30-114 (.208) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Orioles are just 48-48 (.500) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Orioles are 72-26 (.735) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .278 (4,589 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .605 (3,102 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
7% of Orioles’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (26/379 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters have 460 strikeouts in 1,821 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .821 (234 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .232 (6,791 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 10.13 (32.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.63.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 98 of 1,525 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Orioles vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Foot, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
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