Athletics vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Pirates are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-185) on Monday, June 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Athletics vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Athletics are 12-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 32-26 ATS.

Athletics vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -130O 8.5 +100+150
Pirates -1.5 +105U 8.5 -120-185

Athletics vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Athletics vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+13.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 44% ROI)

Pirates vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Austin Hedges 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Seth Brown 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Connor Joe 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Pirates vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nick Allen 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Austin Hedges 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Bryan Reynolds 1.5 +190 1.5 -250
Seth Brown 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Pirates vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Nick Allen 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
Austin Hedges 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Seth Brown 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Pirates vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JP Sears 4.5 +100 4.5 -130
Johan Oviedo 5.5 +100 5.5 -130
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 47 games (+17.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+0.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 61% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 22-39 against the Run Line (-19.95 Units / -29.15% ROI).

  • 12-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.35 Units / -48% ROI
  • 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 2.87% ROI
  • 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -11.67% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 32-26 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.98% ROI).

  • 31-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 13.57% ROI
  • 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -5.7% ROI
  • 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.81% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (7/104) against JP Sears on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (48/172) against JP Sears this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (34/132) against JP Sears this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (32/172) against JP Sears this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Johan Oviedo has walked 19 of 96 batters (20%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (58/101) against Johan Oviedo this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 90th Percentile.

10 of Johan Oviedo’s 40 breaking pitch strikeouts (25%) have been backdoor this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (31/206) against Johan Oviedo on non-fastballs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Athletics are just 10-38 (.208) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Athletics are just 59-8 (.881) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.

The Athletics are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Athletics are just 4-5 (.444) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Pirates are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Pirates are just 4-104 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Pirates are just 88-111 (.442) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Pirates are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,033 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .622 (5,976 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Pirates are batting just .225 on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,494 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Pirates hitters have 1,356 strikeouts in 5,553 PA’s (24%) against RHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.70 (533.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.87 (246.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.

Athletics pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 11% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 784 of 8,427 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Pirates vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
  • Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.