Athletics vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 21, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Rangers are -210 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
  • Watch the game on BSSWX

The Oakland Athletics (+170) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-210) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Athletics vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Athletics are 3-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 11-7 ATS.

Athletics vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -115O 8.5 -115+170
Rangers -1.5 -105U 8.5 -105-210

Athletics vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games at home (+8.90 Units / 178% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 97% ROI)

Rangers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Nate Lowe 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Tony Kemp 0.5 +1100 0.5
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Brent Rooker 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Rangers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Tony Kemp 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brent Rooker 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Jace Peterson 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Rangers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +360 0.5 -550
Nate Lowe 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Tony Kemp 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Brent Rooker 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Rangers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JP Sears 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Jon Gray 6.5 -105 6.5 -125
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 98% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 48% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 7-12 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -31.81% ROI).

  • 3-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -57.37% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 24.12% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -33.9% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 11-7 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 14.26% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 23.2% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 25.94% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -36.73% ROI

Opponents have a swing rate of just 14% (9/63) against JP Sears on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (48/260) against JP Sears since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against JP Sears — tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 27% (7 SO in 26 PAs) with two-strikes — 6th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jon Gray has not allowed a walk in his last 74 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 27th, 2022 — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 107.

Jon Gray has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 9 opportunities (33%) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 (32 Total Bases / 109 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .439 — 98th Percentile.

Jon Gray has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 83% (35/42) of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Athletics are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.

The Athletics are just 56-6 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Athletics are just 7-56 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

The Athletics are just 46-14 (.767) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Rangers are just 34-31 (.523) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Rangers are just 4-81 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Rangers are 12-10 (.545) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 65-11 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .642 (1,703 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Athletics are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

Rangers hitters are slugging .640 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

The Rangers are batting .360 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.

The Rangers are batting just .150 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.71 (168.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 32% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.47 (57.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.

Rangers pitchers have walked 153 of 1,600 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 633 of 6,823 batters (9%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
  • Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Domingo Acevedo (Athletics): Back, D15
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
  • Brent Rooker (Athletics): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.