- The Rangers are -350 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kyle Muller
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Oakland Athletics (+260) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-350) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Athletics vs Rangers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 4-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 12-8 ATS.
Athletics vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -120 | O 7 +105 | +260 |
| Rangers | -2.5 +100 | U 7 -125 | -350 |
Athletics vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 71.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Conner Capel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.30 Units / 133% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Rangers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rangers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Rangers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Rangers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Muller | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Jacob deGrom | 10.5 +115 | 10.5 -165 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 8-13 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -29.14% ROI).
- 4-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -47.14% ROI
- 14-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.15 Units / 30.17% ROI
- 6-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -40.04% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 12-8 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 12.12% ROI).
- 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 14.72% ROI
- 14-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 32.14% ROI
- 6-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -42.86% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Muller has allowed an OBP of .714 (21 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .331 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .647 (11-for-17) against Kyle Muller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .264 — first Percentile.
5 of Kyle Muller’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Muller has a strikeout rate of just 13% (4 SO in 31 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 32% — fifth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (68/168) against Jacob deGrom this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 40% (32 SO in 80 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
56% of Jacob deGrom’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 65% (32 SO in 49 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Athletics are just 0-1 (.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Athletics are just 2-5 (.286) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Athletics are just 46-14 (.767) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Athletics are just 56-6 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Rangers are just 66-11 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The Rangers are 46-12 (.793) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rangers are just 35-31 (.530) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,918 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .605 (3,331 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .325 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .817 (622 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of 1.070 (208 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .752.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.08 (185.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 156 of 1,618 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 642 of 6,899 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Domingo Acevedo (Athletics): Back, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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