Athletics vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Rangers (39-44) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (29-58)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (2-1), 6.00 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Spencer Howard (0-1), 10.96 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-185) on Monday, July 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Athletics vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 29-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 49-34 ATS.

Athletics vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -130O 8.5 -105+150
Rangers -1.5 +105U 8.5 -115-185

Athletics vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+3.25 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.85 Units / 53% ROI)

Rangers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Brad Miller 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Corey Seager 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jonah Heim 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Rangers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Brad Miller 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Corey Seager 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Jonah Heim 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Josh H. Smith 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Rangers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Brad Miller 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Corey Seager 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Jonah Heim 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Rangers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Howard 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
Adrian Martinez 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 away games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 78 games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 72 games (+19.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+4.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+2.48 Units / 8% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 42-45 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -11.61% ROI).

  • 29-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -20.34% ROI
  • 35-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -18.09% ROI
  • 47-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 8.82% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 49-34 against the Run Line (+11.75 Units / 10.76% ROI).

  • 39-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -3.28% ROI
  • 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -4.96% ROI
  • 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -2.79% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 72% (13/18) against Adrian Martinez against right-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Adrian Martinez has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (31/82) this month (1 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Adrian Martinez has not walked any of the 22 batters that he has faced this month (1 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Adrian Martinez has allowed an OPS of 1.000 (22 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .710 — ninth Percentile.

Spencer Howard: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Howard has limited playing time.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Athletics are just 21-9 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.

The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Athletics are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Athletics are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Rangers are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are just 19-21 (.475) at home this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Rangers are 22-4 (.846) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Rangers are just 12-36 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .264 (2,182 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

The Athletics are batting just .192 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,182 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Rangers are batting .439 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rangers hitters have drawn 191 walks in 2,772 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (6,268 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,457 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 9% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 17% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rangers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.