- The Rangers (39-44) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (29-58)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (2-1), 6.00 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Spencer Howard (0-1), 10.96 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-185) on Monday, July 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 29-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 49-34 ATS.
Athletics vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -130 | O 8.5 -105 | +150 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -115 | -185 |
Athletics vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+3.25 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.85 Units / 53% ROI)
Rangers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rangers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Rangers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Howard | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
| Adrian Martinez | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 away games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 78 games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 72 games (+19.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+4.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+2.48 Units / 8% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 42-45 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -11.61% ROI).
- 29-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -20.34% ROI
- 35-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -18.09% ROI
- 47-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 8.82% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 49-34 against the Run Line (+11.75 Units / 10.76% ROI).
- 39-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -3.28% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -4.96% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -2.79% ROI
Adrian Martinez: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 72% (13/18) against Adrian Martinez against right-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Adrian Martinez has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (31/82) this month (1 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Adrian Martinez has not walked any of the 22 batters that he has faced this month (1 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Martinez has allowed an OPS of 1.000 (22 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .710 — ninth Percentile.
Spencer Howard: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Howard has limited playing time.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Athletics are just 21-9 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Athletics are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Athletics are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Rangers are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 19-21 (.475) at home this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Rangers are 22-4 (.846) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Rangers are just 12-36 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .264 (2,182 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Athletics are batting just .192 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,182 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .439 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rangers hitters have drawn 191 walks in 2,772 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (6,268 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,457 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 9% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 17% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rangers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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