- The Rangers are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Oakland Athletics (+195) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-250) on Sunday, September 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Athletics vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 0-0 ATS.
Athletics vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 9 -115 | +195 |
| Rangers | -1.5 -125 | U 9 -105 | -250 |
Athletics vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 83.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+16.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+9.30 Units / 72% ROI)
Rangers vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Rangers vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Rangers vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Medina | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Jon Gray | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 75 of their last 127 games (+16.33 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 70 away games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 81 games (+8.37 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 away games (+7.18 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 80 games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 72 of their last 132 games (+17.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games at home (+15.28 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 77 of their last 132 games (+14.96 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 68 games at home (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (204/407) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (16/157) against Luis Medina on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Medina has a strikeout rate of just 7% (6 SO in 83 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Medina has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to July 30th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 12.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .486 (34-for-70) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — second Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .259 (77 Total Bases / 297 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .178 (53-for-297) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 90th Percentile.
50% of Jon Gray’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
The Athletics are just 81-60 (.574) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Athletics are just 25-71 (.260) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Athletics are just 31-63 (.330) after a home loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Rangers are just 6-123 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Rangers are just 68-50 (.576) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Rangers are 27-13 (.675) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 2-133 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,469 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .290 (11,121 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .628 (5,469 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .266 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .352 (1,456 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .268 (2,895 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rangers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 611 of 5,612 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.26 (592.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 238 of 2,700 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 116 double plays in 986 opportunities (12%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 8.50 (54.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.95.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Hamstring, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Jose Adolis García (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
- Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D15
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