- The Red Sox are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Red Sox starting pitcher: –
- Watch the game on NESN
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-250) on Friday, July 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Athletics vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 25-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 46-42 ATS.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 10.5 -105 | +200 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -125 | U 10.5 -115 | -250 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 80.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+11.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+9.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 73% ROI)
Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Diaz | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 75 games (+14.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+9.20 Units / 54% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 75 games (+6.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 63% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 42-47 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -7.83% ROI).
- 25-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.6 Units / -23.11% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 1.62% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -10.48% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 46-42 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.47% ROI).
- 45-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 1.31% ROI
- 46-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 1.66% ROI
- 40-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -11.57% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (33 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .396 — fifth Percentile.
Luis Medina has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 53% (171/325) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Luis Medina has walked 22 of 158 batters (14%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Luis Medina has a strikeout rate of just 10% (6 SO in 61 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brennan Bernardino has allowed a slugging percentage of just .175 (7 Total Bases / 40 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .362 — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .150 (6-for-40) against Brennan Bernardino this season — tied for 6th best among in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 93rd Percentile.
Brennan Bernardino has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Kevin Kelly has the longest active streak at 22.0.
Brennan Bernardino has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 21 opportunities (24%) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 64-13 (.831) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Athletics are just 68-8 (.895) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Athletics are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Athletics are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox are just 5-11 (.312) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Red Sox are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Red Sox are 15-30 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,770 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .629 (6,770 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .634 (9,179 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .395 (372 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Red Sox are batting .332 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have allowed 6.25 runs per game (556/89) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Athletics pitchers have walked 390 of 3,560 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.99 (785.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 252 of 3,320 batters (8%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (900.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,590 times since last season — 3rd most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel RÃos (Athletics): Raynaud’s Syndrome, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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