- The Red Sox are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Red Sox starting pitcher: James Paxton
- Watch the game on NESN
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-250) on Saturday, July 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Athletics vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 25-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 47-42 ATS.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -120 | +200 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -125 | U 9.5 +100 | -250 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 82.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Paxton | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -140 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+15.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+8.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 away games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 76 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 68% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 42-48 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -8.74% ROI).
- 25-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.6 Units / -23.96% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 1.6% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -10.37% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 47-42 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.6% ROI).
- 46-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 2.23% ROI
- 46-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 1.64% ROI
- 40-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -11.45% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have no = 95 mph’>hard-hit balls on 25 balls in play against Paul Blackburn on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (10/60) against Paul Blackburn on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (512/1,204) against Paul Blackburn since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has a strike rate of just 62% (748/1,204) against right-handed batters since last season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .168 (24-for-143) against James Paxton this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
James Paxton has allowed an OBP of just .143 (35 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .279 — 95th Percentile.
James Paxton has pitched 10.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Jesus Luzardo has the longest active streak at 23.0.
James Paxton has allowed an OBP of just .221 (154 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Athletics are just 68-8 (.895) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Athletics are just 23-54 (.299) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Athletics are just 14-50 (.219) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox are just 6-11 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .562.
The Red Sox are 15-7 (.682) after a home win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Red Sox are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 34-2 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .189 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,790 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Athletics are batting just .217 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,505 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .397 (380 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Red Sox are batting .334 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,464 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have allowed 6.54 runs per game (301/46) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.55.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 50% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.79 (384.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 254 of 3,354 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 357 barreled balls since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (2,267 batted balls) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel RÃos (Athletics): Raynaud’s Syndrome, D60
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