- The Red Sox are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tayler Scott
- Watch the game on NESN
The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-185) on Sunday, July 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 25-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 48-42 ATS.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 +100 | +150 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -120 | -185 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 72.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Athletics vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brayan Bello has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan Noda | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 47 away games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 77 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 42-49 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -9.63% ROI).
- 25-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.6 Units / -24.79% ROI
- 46-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 39-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.2 Units / -11.27% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 48-42 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.25% ROI).
- 47-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 3.11% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.62% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -12.34% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (74/266) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (55/211) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (64/367) against JP Sears on pitches in the strike zone since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
74% of JP Sears’ called strikeouts are low this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 93rd Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Yarbrough allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.1 MPH (252 batted balls) in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 88.6 — 99th Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough located his fastball inside 51% of the time (128/253) in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (14/43) against Ryan Yarbrough on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 92nd Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough allowed an OPS of .867 (275 PA’s) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .712 — eighth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Athletics are just 7-23 (.233) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Athletics are just 13-6 (.684) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Athletics are just 64-13 (.831) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox are 38-2 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Red Sox are 15-30 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Red Sox are just 6-11 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .562.
The Red Sox are 28-27 (.509) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .287 (9,250 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,505 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,790 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .397 (380 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .356 (1,819 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .334 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.87 (393.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Athletics have allowed 6.30 runs per game (573/91) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Athletics pitchers have walked 393 of 3,637 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 255 of 3,391 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 55 of 797 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (900.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel RÃos (Athletics): Raynaud’s Syndrome, D60
Bet now on Athletics vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
