Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2022, 10:55 AM
  • The Red Sox (33-29) are -200 favorites vs the Athletics (21-42)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (0-3), 5.73 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Joshua Winckowski (0-1), 12.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on NESN

The Oakland Athletics (+165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-200) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Athletics vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 21-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 34-28 ATS.

Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -120O 9.5 -105+165
Red Sox -1.5 +100U 9.5 -115-200

Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 75.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 away games (+6.15 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trevor Story has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.35 Units / 75% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Bobby Dalbec 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
    J.D. Martinez 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

    Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
    Bobby Dalbec 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
    J.D. Martinez 1.5 +185 1.5 -275

    Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
    Bobby Dalbec 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    J.D. Martinez 0.5 +130 0.5 -185

    Red Sox vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    James Kaprielian 4.5 +115 4.5 -165
    Winckowski 4.5 +115 4.5 -165
    Winckowski 4.5 +115 4.5 -165
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 away games (+4.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 away games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 61 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+7.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 29-34 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -16.73% ROI).

    • 21-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -23.42% ROI
    • 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -9.53% ROI
    • 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI

    Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 34-28 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 6.18% ROI).

    • 33-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -1.7% ROI
    • 23-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -17.03% ROI
    • 32-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 11.12% ROI

    James Kaprielian has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to May 17th — the longest active streak is 6.

    Left-handed hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of .324 (23/71) against James Kaprielian this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .193 — second Percentile.

    James Kaprielian has located his pitches away 58% of the time (350/607) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (201/630) against James Kaprielian since the start of last season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

    Joshua Winckowski: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Josh Winckowski has limited playing time.

    Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

    The Athletics are just 7-24 (.226) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

    The Athletics are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Athletics are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    The Athletics are just 1-18 (.053) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

    Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

    The Red Sox are just 119-19 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Red Sox are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Red Sox are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Red Sox are 14-3 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

    Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .276 (2,258 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

    Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .566 (1,088 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    Athletics hitters are slugging just .297 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

    Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .592 (1,622 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

    The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .552 (4,576 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .513.

    Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

    Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Athletics pitchers have walked 159 of 2,505 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Red Sox have won 49% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Red Sox vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.