- The Red Sox (34-29) are -175 favorites vs the Athletics (21-43)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn (5-2), 2.30 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Richard Hill (2-3), 4.37 ERA
- Watch the game on NESN
The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-175) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Athletics vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 21-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 35-28 ATS.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -130 | O 10 -115 | +145 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +110 | U 10 -105 | -175 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 76.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+13.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -190 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rich Hill | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -125 |
| Paul Blackburn | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 away games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 31 away games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 62 games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 56 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 29-35 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -17.89% ROI).
- 21-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -24.55% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -7.98% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.36% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 35-28 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 7.34% ROI).
- 34-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.43% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -15.32% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 9.43% ROI
Paul Blackburn: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Blackburn has a strike rate of just 59% (158/266) in two strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (45/153) against Paul Blackburn with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has struck out just 17% (22/133) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (6-for-37) against Paul Blackburn on inside fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — 94th Percentile.
Richard Hill: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (438/804) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (984/2,327) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (1,548/3,300) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 61% of the time (99/163) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Athletics are just 7-24 (.226) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Athletics are just 1-19 (.050) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Athletics are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Red Sox are 19-15 (.559) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Red Sox are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Red Sox are 15-3 (.833) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .269 (1,652 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,652 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .608 (2,292 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,292 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .444 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Red Sox are batting .260 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .343 (4,141 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 81% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 161 of 2,513 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Red Sox have won 49% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): COVID-19, D10
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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